Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.155628 0.180397 0.207841 0.240509 0.278348 0.320811 0.372106
2025-06-29 0.114171 0.146565 0.186254 0.238483 0.305470 0.388598 0.499767
2025-07-06 0.093303 0.128508 0.174735 0.239931 0.329651 0.449007 0.620285
2025-07-13 0.082503 0.120349 0.172936 0.251423 0.365836 0.526955 0.771909
2025-07-20 0.073555 0.112763 0.169973 0.259652 0.397072 0.600374 0.925351
2025-07-27 0.066364 0.106359 0.167326 0.267185 0.427195 0.674609 1.088280
2025-08-03 0.059361 0.099065 0.162050 0.269427 0.448644 0.737156 1.239762
2025-08-10 0.052507 0.090964 0.154258 0.266230 0.460298 0.784586 1.371406
2025-08-17 0.045810 0.082177 0.144121 0.257558 0.461207 0.813563 1.474235
2025-08-24 0.042503 0.078806 0.142683 0.263556 0.487920 0.889152 1.667278
2025-08-31 0.038889 0.074393 0.138817 0.264566 0.505476 0.949993 1.840077
2025-09-07 0.036113 0.071172 0.136682 0.268390 0.528446 1.022838 2.043494
2025-09-14 0.032326 0.065623 0.129684 0.262326 0.532210 1.060767 2.185670
2025-09-21 0.029399 0.061432 0.124837 0.259950 0.543037 1.113785 2.365139
2025-09-28 0.027232 0.058508 0.122136 0.261531 0.561961 1.184863 2.590306
2025-10-05 0.026336 0.058132 0.124562 0.274064 0.605241 1.310826 2.947848
2025-10-12 0.025173 0.057030 0.125317 0.283039 0.641807 1.426505 3.296795
2025-10-19 0.024032 0.055837 0.125724 0.291254 0.677572 1.544299 3.664774
2025-10-26 0.022540 0.053661 0.123708 0.293699 0.700402 1.635600 3.982183
2025-11-02 0.020764 0.050612 0.119371 0.290213 0.708895 1.694858 4.230185
2025-11-09 0.018768 0.046803 0.112855 0.280755 0.701922 1.716912 4.389618
2025-11-16 0.017959 0.045807 0.112890 0.287297 0.734970 1.838746 4.814326
2025-11-23 0.016891 0.044035 0.110849 0.288398 0.754441 1.929283 5.169610